Crop health, soil moisture, rainfall and fire activity for the five states that grow most of Brazil’s export sugar — so you can plan purchases with the same view we use to plan supply.
Latest observations — satellite image: Oct 7 · weather: Oct 5 · fires: Oct 7
Ribeirão Preto, Piracicaba, Araçatuba, São José do Rio Preto
Sampled at 4 cane-belt sites
| Date | Crop health |
|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 10 | 84 |
| Sat, Jul 11 | 84 |
| Sun, Jul 12 | 84 |
| Mon, Jul 13 | 84 |
| Tue, Jul 14 | 84 |
| Wed, Jul 15 | 84 |
| Thu, Jul 16 | 84 |
| Fri, Jul 17 | 84 |
| Sat, Jul 18 | 84 |
| Sun, Jul 19 | 84 |
| Mon, Jul 20 | 82 |
| Tue, Jul 21 | 82 |
| Wed, Jul 22 | 81 |
| Thu, Jul 23 | 81 |
| Fri, Jul 24 | 81 |
| Sat, Jul 25 | 81 |
| Sun, Jul 26 | 81 |
| Mon, Jul 27 | 80 |
| Tue, Jul 28 | 80 |
| Wed, Jul 29 | 80 |
| Thu, Jul 30 | 80 |
| Fri, Jul 31 | 80 |
| Sat, Aug 1 | 83 |
| Sun, Aug 2 | 83 |
| Mon, Aug 3 | 83 |
| Tue, Aug 4 | 83 |
| Wed, Aug 5 | 83 |
| Thu, Aug 6 | 84 |
| Fri, Aug 7 | 84 |
| Sat, Aug 8 | 83 |
| Sun, Aug 9 | 82 |
| Mon, Aug 10 | 82 |
| Tue, Aug 11 | 82 |
| Wed, Aug 12 | 82 |
| Thu, Aug 13 | 82 |
| Fri, Aug 14 | 78 |
| Sat, Aug 15 | 78 |
| Sun, Aug 16 | 79 |
| Mon, Aug 17 | 79 |
| Tue, Aug 18 | 79 |
| Wed, Aug 19 | 85 |
| Thu, Aug 20 | 85 |
| Fri, Aug 21 | 83 |
| Sat, Aug 22 | 83 |
| Sun, Aug 23 | 83 |
| Mon, Aug 24 | 81 |
| Tue, Aug 25 | 81 |
| Wed, Aug 26 | 81 |
| Thu, Aug 27 | 81 |
| Fri, Aug 28 | 78 |
| Sat, Aug 29 | 78 |
| Sun, Aug 30 | 78 |
| Mon, Aug 31 | 80 |
| Tue, Sep 1 | 80 |
| Wed, Sep 2 | 80 |
| Thu, Sep 3 | 80 |
| Fri, Sep 4 | 80 |
| Sat, Sep 5 | 90 |
| Sun, Sep 6 | 90 |
| Mon, Sep 7 | 90 |
| Tue, Sep 8 | 90 |
| Wed, Sep 9 | 90 |
| Thu, Sep 10 | 90 |
| Fri, Sep 11 | 90 |
| Sat, Sep 12 | 90 |
| Sun, Sep 13 | 90 |
| Mon, Sep 14 | 92 |
| Tue, Sep 15 | 88 |
| Wed, Sep 16 | 88 |
| Thu, Sep 17 | 93 |
| Fri, Sep 18 | 94 |
| Sat, Sep 19 | 94 |
| Sun, Sep 20 | 94 |
| Mon, Sep 21 | 94 |
| Tue, Sep 22 | 94 |
| Wed, Sep 23 | 94 |
| Thu, Sep 24 | 94 |
| Fri, Sep 25 | 90 |
| Sat, Sep 26 | 90 |
| Sun, Sep 27 | 90 |
| Mon, Sep 28 | 91 |
| Tue, Sep 29 | 91 |
| Wed, Sep 30 | 91 |
| Thu, Oct 1 | 91 |
| Fri, Oct 2 | 91 |
| Sat, Oct 3 | 86 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | 86 |
| Mon, Oct 5 | 86 |
| Tue, Oct 6 | 86 |
| Wed, Oct 7 | 92 |
São Paulo supply conditions currently stable
ICUMSA 45 export allocations for Nov–Dec loading out of Santos / Paranaguá. Subject to contract.
Plain definitions, published so you can hold us to them.
Vegetation Condition Index (0–100) from Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery: where today’s NDVI at the region’s cane-belt sites sits between the lowest (0) and highest (100) readings for the same time of year since 2017. Around 50 is typical; below 45 signals stress. Uses the latest cloud-free image.
Root-zone soil wetness from NASA POWER, from 0 (dry) to 100 (saturated), averaged over the region’s cane-belt sites. Stress is high below 35 and moderate below 55. Low readings are normal from June to September.
Total rainfall over the last 30 days at the same sites (NASA POWER), compared with the long-term average for the same days of the year.
Active-fire detections across the whole state over the last 7 days, from INPE’s Programa Queimadas reference satellite (so counts are comparable over time), compared with the same days in previous years.
Our summary flag. It moves to Watch or Tight only when conditions are abnormal for the time of year — weak crop health, a rainfall deficit in the wet season, severe dryness or unusual fire activity.
Sources: contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data (ESA), accessed via Earth Search on AWS; NASA POWER Project, NASA Langley Research Center; INPE Programa Queimadas. Processed by LAKAY and updated daily.
Regional conditions are open to every buyer. Supplier-level monitoring stays with the contracts it protects.
Crop health, rainfall, soil moisture and fire activity across the cane belt, with our supply signal — a two-minute read every week.