
Global Sugar Market Outlook | Q4 2025
The Q4 2025 sugar market looks “cheap” on the screen, with ICE No. 11 near 14.8 c/lb, even as ISO projects a 4.9 MMT global deficit and Brazil runs at record sugar exports. This note explains why the market is mispricing risk and sets out a Brazil-anchored 50/30/20 coverage strategy for protecting 2026 margins.







